Although economic science is not well equipped to make predictions, it is a myth to claim that “no one” saw the financial crisis coming – the economic events that we have experienced were possible to navigate
To navigate an array of contesting claims, the main criteria used were as follows:
- Documented evidence must exist
- Studies must be right for the right reasons
- It has to be timely
- Put their money where their mouth was
There's even an appendix where I outline my own personal forecasts. Download the report here.